US will withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement

The United States, including Los Angeles, Chicago, Seattle and New York and other 61 cities issued a statement, adhere to the maintenance of the Paris Agreement, and pointed out that  will be more efforts to meet the city’s current climate goals, the commitment will increase investment in renewable energy and energy efficiency.

So far, more than 30 mayors, California, Washington, and three governors of New York, , as well as Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Uber, General Electric, Facebook, and more than 100 companies together, want in consultation with the United Nations, abide by the Paris agreement.

Let’s take a look at what the Paris Agreement is, and why nearly 200 countries are joining the Paris agreement.

The Paris Agreement was adopted at the Paris Climate Change Conference on December 12, 2015, and was officially signed in New York on April 22, 2016. Since the United Nations framework convention on climate change in 1992, and the Kyoto Protocol in 1997, the third landmark international legal text on climate change in human history, aims to limit the global warming caused by gas emissions, forming a global climate management pattern after 2020. So far, nearly 200 countries have signed agreements and made commitments.

A total of 29 articles of the agreement, the following three important points: A) To reduce the emission peak of greenhouse gases, which aim to reduce man-made carbon emissions to the level that forests and oceans can absorb in the second half of this century. B) Review progress every five years, and the parties to re-set their own emission reduction targets. C) Developed countries continue to provide financial assistance for the developing countries, and help them reduce carbon emissions and adapt to climate change.

The United States has the world’s strongest industrial capacity and industrial level, but its own energy reserves are rich, and because of shale gas technology breakthrough in the energy supply strategic advantage, there is less  demand for new sources of energy such as solar power, wind power and other new energy. The United States long-term industrialization, manufacturing output value of only 12% -13% of US GDP, but because of the national per capita living emissions, the total carbon emissions ranked second in the world.

European countries enjoy the industrial advantages and industrial profits of the agreement, the developing countries enjoy the financial subsidies and technical assistance from developed countries, and only the United States, remove the right to speak, and in order to limit the development of China and India, the “Paris Agreement” its almost no other positive benefits, but also in today’s domestic economic downturn, the contradiction between the class situation, for other less developed countries to provide an annual income of 3 billion dollars.

It is not difficult to understand why Trump insists on withdrawing from the Paris Agreement.

First, the United States needs to rely on the strategic advantages of energy supply, in exchange for the US economic pressure of time and space for the subsequent development of recovery energy.

Second, the withdrawal of the “Paris Agreement” can rise the US domestic energy industry, especially the coal industry recovery, and because of the local environmental cost reduction factors to promote the manufacturing industry back.

On the one hand to ease the pressure on the US domestic employment economy, on the other hand also solid Trump into the White House of the basic disk, can be described as multiple purposes.

The opportunity is that the withdrawal of the United States not only alleviates China’s moral pressure as the current number of greenhouse gas emissions, has won an international reputation for China, but also gives China a chance to deepen cooperation with Europe.

For the pressure, with the United States withdrawn from the “Paris Agreement”, China as the world’s second largest economy, the largest carbon emissions countries, will bear the international community for climate change more expectations. And China is still a developing country, both from an economic point of view or technical point of view, are far from the obligations of the United States with the approximation. Europe and the United Kingdom because of Europe and immigration refugees and other issues are at the quagmire, unable to shoulder more responsibility.

So even under the Paris agreement provision, the United States will not officially leave until 2020, but the follow-up content of the agreement has been difficult to continue.

But no matter what the Paris Agreement, in China, the overall national policy does not change.

From a national strategic perspective, the core of the industrial revolution is the development and utilization of new energy, the first industrial revolution by the coal instead of manpower, the second industrial revolution electricity instead of coal, the third industrial revolution inevitable is new energy instead of oil. In order to stand in the future energy industry at the top, access to future energy competition on the strategic advantages, the development of new energy industry, adjust the industrial structure and energy structure is still imperative.

Therefore, even the United States has withdrawn from the Paris Agreement, it seems to bring a period of pains for the new energy industry, the objective law of world development and historical iteration will not change due to the independence of various political factors.